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Asia-Pacific and Cross-Strait Machinations: Challenges for Taiwan in the Nascent Phase of Pax-Sino

Asia-Pacific and Cross-Strait Machinations: Challenges for Taiwan in the Nascent Phase of Pax-Sino

Strobe Driver

2018 Taiwan Fellowship Scholar

Field of Study:

No:

Date:2018/12/19

Abstract:

The threat of Taiwan – China frictions ‘spilling over’ into a kinetic exchange—of becoming a ‘shooting’ or ‘hot’ war—is the premise of this analysis. Within the parameters of this happening other contributing factors such as politics, the current politico-situation, broader concepts, the explanation of what a war consists ‘of,’ and what it will ‘bring’ should a war break out. Domestic issues in Taiwan and in China that would contribute to, or disallow for an outbreak of hostilities to happen, and other pertinent factors that influence Realpolitik and war-making are also analysed. Other considerations are also taken into account and within the constraints of the mini-thesis a narrative that deals with what is in the public sphere and the Asia-Pacific in general, as well as broader international components have been taken into account and applied where relevant. In keeping with the intent of this thesis a conclusion and forecast is offered in order to ground the evidence-base of the thesis in the ‘real world’ outcomes of how a kinetic exchange will manifest; the impact on Taiwan and the Asia-Pacific generally and crucially, when it will take place. Key words and concepts: Asia-Pacific, Politico, Limited War, Total War, Independence, Sovereignty, Globalisation.